Extra-Large-Standoff
0xa76e3c277c119c832cd70087de1a8dd50e6b3466
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.7K
Realised
$444.86
Win rate
86%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
8429 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-33.99
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
7435 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-113.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
1200 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-88.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9AM ET
1100 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
1040 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trygve Slagsvold Vedum become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
1016 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9PM ET
1010 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
663 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
630 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
- NO
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
600 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-49.71
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.13Apr 20, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$16.40Apr 19, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$13.20Apr 19, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$5.25Apr 19, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$1.15Apr 19, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.09Apr 19, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.65Apr 19, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$0.66Apr 19, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.14Apr 19, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$0.49Apr 19, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$0.48Apr 19, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$4.39Apr 19, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$18.14Apr 19, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$7.40Apr 19, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$0.71Apr 19, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$0.95Apr 19, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$3.73Apr 19, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$12.75Apr 19, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$7.98Apr 19, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$0.00Apr 19, 02:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $7.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 01:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 01:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".