Thoughtful-Popsicle
0xa77233faa4d364a8ea48f4685c9996cad276eb5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$50.51
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
51 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.51
$0.51
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 11PM ET
102 shares @ 91.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-92.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5PM ET
101 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-98.98
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 12AM ET
100 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-98.75
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 6AM ET
99 shares @ 95.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-94.86
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 10AM ET
99 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-98.01
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 5PM ET
99 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-97.02
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 5PM ET
99 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-96.78
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 2AM ET
97 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-96.03
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 26, 11PM ET
96 shares @ 96.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-93.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$50.02May 21, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7PM ET$0.12May 21, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 6, 6PM ET$0.19May 21, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 14, 4AM ET$0.40May 21, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 4, 12PM ET$0.54May 21, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1AM ET$0.59May 21, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 5, 10AM ET$0.79May 21, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 17, 4PM ET$0.92May 21, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 4, 9AM ET$0.99May 21, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 9, 6AM ET$1.00May 21, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2.03May 21, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12AM ET$12.94May 21, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET$13.63May 21, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 28, 12AM ET$13.79May 21, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET$13.92May 21, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 28, 12AM ET$16.84May 21, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET$15.92Apr 28, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11PM ET$15.94Apr 28, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET$12.88Apr 28, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 28, 1AM ET$12.74Apr 28, 05:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $14.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 01:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 16:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".