Fitting-Elf
0xa77af504885ef8de7207aec34b8474159b34a35f
Wallet digest
Activity score
15/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.00
Realised
$-1.63
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026
160 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be at least 15m square kilometers?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q1 2026
45 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.45
- YES
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
36 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.39
- YES
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
29 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.35
- YES
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q1 2026
29 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.17
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q1 2026$0.00Apr 7, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by March 31?$0.00Apr 7, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q1 2026$0.00Apr 7, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026$0.00Apr 7, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$0.00Apr 1, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMNikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMTulsi Gabbard out by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aurora win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? $0.00Apr 1, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Apr 1, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 19:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 19:54 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 13:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".