Rotten-Horst
0xa77d98f6422546635d341efb915a6a35d62ef4d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.11
Total PnL
$-553.64
Realised
$-2.76
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
423 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.11
$-22.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
8119 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-44.99
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 5PM ET
1431 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Odds of Khamenei out by February over 50% in January?
1143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
1000 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?
800 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
654 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
518 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
410 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$5.00Mar 2, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$40.00Mar 2, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$20.00Mar 2, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$65.72Mar 2, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$5.00Jan 24, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?$5.00Jan 24, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLOdds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?$9.54Jan 24, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?$3.00Jan 24, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$5.00Jan 24, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?$4.00Jan 24, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$15.00Jan 24, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$13.83Jan 24, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$11.00Jan 24, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$5.00Jan 24, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$7.26Jan 24, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$5.00Jan 21, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?$20.00Jan 21, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$19.17Jan 21, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?$10.00Jan 21, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$16.00Jan 21, 23:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $17.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 22:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 05:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".