Kind-Sideboard-Talent
0xa77e50736340696cf15ddc476b605c400b7baea7
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$255.69
Total PnL
$-43.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on June 20?
85 shares @ 54.2¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$82.41
$36.36
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 21?
65 shares @ 60.2¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$36.39
$-2.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?
30 shares @ 54.8¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$25.04
$8.60
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?
40 shares @ 53.7¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$22.59
$1.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?
31 shares @ 62.2¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$19.80
$0.41
- NO
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 64.9¢·now 95.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.34
$4.61
- NO
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
20 shares @ 52.2¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$11.10
$0.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 21?
20 shares @ 64.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$10.50
$-2.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 20?
10 shares @ 69.5¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$9.81
$2.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 20?
10 shares @ 43.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$9.78
$5.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?$0.75Jun 20, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?$3.15Jun 20, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?$19.79Jun 20, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$1.25Jun 20, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 20?$0.52Jun 20, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 20?$3.53Jun 20, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 20?$25.89Jun 20, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 20?$14.97Jun 20, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 20?$44.75Jun 20, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$4.96Jun 20, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?$3.10Jun 20, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?$1.41Jun 20, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?$1.68Jun 20, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?$3.10Jun 20, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 20?$0.69Jun 20, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?$3.10Jun 20, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?$1.80Jun 20, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?$1.30Jun 20, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 20?$1.23Jun 20, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?$9.98Jun 20, 12:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 09:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 15:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.