Mellow-Hanger
0xa78f917979de115f4146ee1b5110adda47f9185e
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-85.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump approval >40% on June 1?
444 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?
135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?
114 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Southampton win on 2025-03-08?
106 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Southampton win on 2025-02-25?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US recession in 2025?
37 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
34 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Liverpool vs. Newcastle end in a draw?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Everton win on 2025-02-26?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Wolves vs. Fulham end in a draw?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump approval >40% on June 1?$19.00May 9, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United vs. Arsenal end in a draw?$18.52Apr 22, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$14.00Mar 9, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Southampton win on 2025-03-08?$5.00Mar 7, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United vs. Arsenal end in a draw?$5.00Mar 7, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2025?$5.00Feb 26, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Southampton win on 2025-02-25?$5.00Feb 24, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves vs. Fulham end in a draw?$5.00Feb 23, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton win on 2025-02-26?$5.00Feb 22, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool vs. Newcastle end in a draw?$5.00Feb 22, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?$49.20Feb 22, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?$42.00Feb 8, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?$20.66Feb 8, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$21.74Feb 8, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?$8.00Jan 20, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$21.00Jan 16, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?$20.00Jan 16, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$14.00Nov 1, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$0.00Nov 1, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United beat Brighton?$0.00Nov 1, 22:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $14.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 22:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 19:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".