Prestigious-Robe-Premium
0xa79c1056ef01e438713441c4f24cdc34142a70c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$24.98
Total PnL
$-83.14
Realised
$-12.49
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Flop launch a token by June 30, 2027?
20 shares @ 58.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$9.40
$-2.20
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
28 shares @ 42.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Aug 29, 2026$5.74
$-6.02
- YES
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
16 shares @ 42.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.56
$-2.16
- YES
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.11
$-1.08
- YES
Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on August 31?
2 shares @ 40.7¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.79
$0.15
- YES
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by August 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 48.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.76
$-0.50
- YES
Will Natalie Harp publicly insult Jon Ossoff by August 31?
30 shares @ 19.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.59
$-5.04
- NO
Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?
2 shares @ 28.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.42
$-0.14
- YES
Will CopperTech Metals' market cap be between $4.8B and $5.4B at market close on IPO day?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.32
$-0.68
- YES
Will Décio Lima win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?
20 shares @ 9.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.28
$-1.52
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$3.53Aug 20, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$4.20Aug 20, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$1.84Aug 20, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother Frontier Math Problem Solved by August 31, 2026?$2.56Aug 20, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marcelo Castro win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?$10.34Aug 20, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$8.40Aug 20, 00:09 UTC
- REWARD$49.36Aug 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother Frontier Math Problem Solved by August 31, 2026?$3.55Aug 19, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$11.76Aug 19, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Frontier Math Problem Solved by August 31, 2026?$12.00Aug 19, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Salles win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?$0.73Aug 19, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcelo Castro win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?$0.96Aug 19, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcelo Castro win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?$9.60Aug 19, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flop launch a token by June 30, 2027?$11.60Aug 19, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?$3.68Aug 19, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?$6.06Aug 19, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?$9.50Aug 19, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natalie Harp publicly insult Jon Ossoff by August 31?$0.96Aug 19, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natalie Harp publicly insult Jon Ossoff by August 31?$11.97Aug 19, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Humberto Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?$10.12Aug 19, 20:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 16:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.