Masculine-Research
0xa7a2128dc022d4d779ed8952b332afd33d3290ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$13.49
Total PnL
$-5.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?
8 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$7.65
$2.45
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
4 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.71
$0.78
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
2 shares @ 75.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$2.14
$0.53
- NO
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
13 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.76
- NO
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?
4 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.32
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
2 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.76Jul 17, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$2.93Jul 16, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.61Jul 9, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?$1.32Jul 3, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$0.00Jun 26, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?$4.18Jun 26, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$19.74Jun 26, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$1.83Jun 10, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$0.00May 30, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?$2.34May 12, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$1.65May 12, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$1.54May 12, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$4.68May 5, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$15.20May 4, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Apr 30, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$1.45Apr 30, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMLiverpool wins the Premier League?$2.25Apr 30, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill USD0++ stabilize again before February?$14.36Feb 6, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $4,750 by January 31, 2025?$21.35Feb 6, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD0++ stabilize again before February?$14.35Jan 30, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 09:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.