Detailed-Raven
0xa7a5260e7814e7018a9615c978b46852995d6f73
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$5.95
Total PnL
$-5.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
5 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?
2 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Libre win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
James Comey indicted before October?
1 shares @ 93.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Toretske by January 31?$1.00Jan 17, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?$1.00Jan 17, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$1.00Jan 17, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 17, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1.00Jan 17, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.52Jan 17, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$2.06Jan 17, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$5.15Jan 17, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$5.00Nov 1, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$2.00Nov 1, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.00Nov 1, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6000 in October?$2.01Nov 1, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150k in October?$2.03Nov 1, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150k in October?$2.00Oct 20, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $6000 in October?$2.00Oct 20, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$1.01Oct 20, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?$2.03Oct 20, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 1, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?$2.00Oct 1, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMJumper airdrop in Q3 2025?$1.02Oct 1, 06:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 07:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.