Hard-To-Find-Fail
0xa7b159add62bafcc45934d67fc3e19d6f512de4e
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
95
Open notional
$10.89
Total PnL
$-202.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on May 5?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.1¢·exp May 5, 2026$2.36
$0.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 5?
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.40
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 5?
22 shares @ 9.1¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.33
$-0.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 5?
20 shares @ 0.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.20
$1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 6?
40 shares @ 4.6¢·now 2.8¢·exp May 6, 2026$1.10
$-0.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 5?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.07
$-0.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 5?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.70
$-1.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 5?
39 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.67
$-1.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 5?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.51
$-1.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on May 5?
33 shares @ 5.7¢·now 1.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.33
$-1.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$0.2125m ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$4.2449m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$3.3650m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$1.091h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$2.552h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$5.332h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$3.242h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$3.923h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$5.773h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$2.543h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$4.583h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.924h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$2.984h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$5.465h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$4.065h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$5.795h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$4.365h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$1.715h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$2.665h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.555h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11h ago
- Last active
- 25m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".