Vain-Rainy
0xa7b41106c7028ebb8d5ce8e1bbcd15b9129666ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-509.08
Realised
$-5.98
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 2AM ET
230 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-121.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
137 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.73
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
136 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-7.75
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1AM ET
102 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-46.29
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
100 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-9.90
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
100 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
80 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-41.59
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12AM ET
80 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-41.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
52 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-27.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMBNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko$25.00May 8, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko$19.00Mar 12, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$9.14Mar 12, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?$9.86Mar 12, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$8.46Feb 13, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$8.00Feb 13, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$7.86Feb 6, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$3.10Feb 6, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$11.45Feb 6, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$12.31Feb 3, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?$9.70Feb 3, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$21.90Feb 3, 07:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.04Jan 20, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$21.36Jan 19, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$12.00Jan 19, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$3.75Jan 19, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$4.77Jan 19, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.25Jan 19, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$2.73Jan 19, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$13.67Jan 19, 15:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $157.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 11:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 07:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.