Trusting-Den
0xa7b4f63ea681c985fad4379c7da42b8c8d91c718
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$45.77
Total PnL
$-54.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
42 shares @ 70.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$42.32
$12.32
- NO
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$3.45
$2.45
- YES
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
92 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
79 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
60 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.07
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
49 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
20 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.82
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
7 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
- YES
Will Siaosi Sovaleni be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.39
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$17.45Jan 16, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$0.00Dec 17, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Dec 12, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Siaosi Sovaleni be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?$1.00Dec 12, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$0.09Dec 12, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.07Dec 12, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.82Dec 12, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$14.83Dec 5, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$5.00Dec 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$30.00Dec 4, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$10.00Dec 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$5.00Dec 3, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$10.00Dec 3, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$10.07Dec 3, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$10.07Dec 3, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$10.27Dec 2, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$10.23Dec 2, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$0.03Dec 1, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$10.36Nov 28, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$8.00Nov 28, 23:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $8.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 17:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 15:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.