Esteemed-Seat
0xa7ba2ebfdf6b46889e8adca5d33f915eb31c4090
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-103.02
Realised
$-14.52
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 11?
284 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.77
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 5?
283 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.40 on January 9?
280 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 11?
278 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.29
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 13?
274 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 8?
268 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10?
266 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 3?
266 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.19
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 4?
263 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.16
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 29-January 4?
258 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.09
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $70 on August 15?$133.78Aug 15, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on August 15?$132.04Aug 14, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 16?$2.55Jul 16, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 15?$2.37Jul 15, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 11?$145.56Jul 11, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 11?$144.25Jul 11, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on June 5?$69.20Jun 5, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on June 5?$2.00Jun 4, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 28?$1.82May 27, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?$79.91May 25, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 25?$77.67May 24, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $90 May 18-24?$1.90May 24, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 24?$2.74May 23, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 17?$1.84May 16, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 6?$17.67May 16, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMTom Lee mindshare all time high by March 31?$24.78May 10, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 28?$2.69Apr 28, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 6?$72.76Apr 25, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 12?$0.00Apr 14, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 6?$0.05Apr 6, 09:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $25.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 16:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 16:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.