Fluffy-Representation
0xa7bec427af5b378d7e8e7b45b4fb0aabeaca3860
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-53.09
Realised
$-0.08
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- YES
Will anyone say "Damage" during Big Brother E9?
60 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.33
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 15 2026?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will SpaceX have fewer than 11 launches in June 2026?
50 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $70 on June 23?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- NO
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.85
- NO
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- NO
Will anyone say "Council" during House of the Dragon E6 S3?
40 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will anyone say "Jury" during Big Brother E10?
35 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
- NO
Will Verizon say "Prepaid" during earnings call?
30 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
- NO
Will Verizon say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?
30 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.21
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Breaking News" in July?$27.90Jul 30, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?$47.00Jul 29, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Boeing say "Program" during earnings call?$0.06Jul 28, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Boeing say "Delivery" during earnings call?$0.07Jul 28, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Mouse" in July?$0.30Jul 28, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$18.96Jul 28, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boeing say "Delivery" during earnings call?$0.14Jul 28, 00:36 UTC
- REWARD$12.73Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boeing say "Program" during earnings call?$0.24Jul 27, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$19.00Jul 27, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Breaking News" in July?$27.90Jul 27, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" this week?$0.20Jul 27, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on July 27?$0.13Jul 27, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mouse" in July?$0.66Jul 27, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on July 27?$0.05Jul 27, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Crazy" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?$18.59Jul 27, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Procter & Gamble say "Insolvency" during earnings call?$28.57Jul 27, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Procter & Gamble say "Insolvency" during earnings call?$9.55Jul 27, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Procter & Gamble say "Insolvency" during earnings call?$19.10Jul 27, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PayPal say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?$0.06Jul 27, 11:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 06:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 09:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.