Remarkable-Oyster
0xa7c2e3e2d901b355e3496a3de04563cbfe30e3d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-18.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2410 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-969.74
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
347 shares @ 58.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-201.61
- NO
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
294 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-134.00
- NO
Will Trump do better with Latinos than in 2020?
231 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- HARRIS
Who will win men?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
North Korea missile test in March?
100 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-52.00
- YES
Will Yang Liu (CHN) win Gold in Women’s 66kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during North Carolina rally on October 21?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
73 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile test in March?$52.00Mar 7, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 21, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEM$100m in $WLFI sold before election?$19.79Nov 21, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$20.00Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOliveira vs. Chandler$15.00Nov 13, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Serbia win Gold in Men's Basketball?$0.00Nov 13, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?$126.82Nov 5, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$464.40Nov 5, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$96.58Nov 5, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$201.61Oct 28, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUY$100m in $WLFI sold before election?$19.00Oct 22, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will win men?$10.00Oct 22, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?$34.00Oct 22, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump do better with Latinos than in 2020?$30.00Oct 21, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during North Carolina rally on October 21?$5.00Oct 21, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?$100.00Oct 21, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1000.00Oct 17, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$352.67Oct 2, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post on X again before election?$68.18Aug 26, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYOlympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbia$10.00Aug 8, 20:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $117.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 07:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 07:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.