Wrong-Amenity
0xa7c40223f124e59667811c64f348e1d14d54b8dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-84.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
257 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-68.20
- YES
Will 'Shadow Force' gross between $1.6-2m opening weekend?
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference?
200 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-7.40
- YES
Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will 'Star Wars III' gross between $22-25m on opening weekend?
9 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-0.14
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?$8.10May 26, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Shadow Force' gross between $1.6-2m opening weekend?$1.60May 12, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Shadow Force' gross between $1.6-2m opening weekend?$2.40May 12, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?$4.05May 12, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?$3.10May 11, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Star Wars III' gross between $22-25m on opening weekend?$0.07Apr 28, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Star Wars III' gross between $22-25m on opening weekend?$0.03Apr 28, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Star Wars III' gross between $22-25m on opening weekend?$0.04Apr 28, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Southampton be relegated?$0.00Apr 28, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? $0.00Apr 28, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMTrump meets with Zelenskyy in March?$0.00Apr 28, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$0.00Apr 28, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United finish in the top 4 of EPL?$0.00Apr 28, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$0.00Apr 28, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$0.00Apr 28, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool finish in the top 4 of EPL?$2.40Apr 2, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? $1.40Mar 18, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the CDU/CSU win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Mar 18, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Opus' gross between 3-5m on opening weekend?$0.00Mar 18, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the CDU/CSU win by less than 2%?$0.00Mar 18, 11:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 07:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 12:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.