Fickle-Ephemera
0xa7c967f8b5ecaf1e32b29fd9eea590aa202c8513
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$14.74
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16?
15 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$14.74
$0.03
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
2031 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
2030 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16?$14.71Jan 16, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 23?$13.76Jan 1, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$2.0KJan 1, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.0KDec 28, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.0KDec 27, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$2.50Dec 27, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.0KDec 24, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$2.0KDec 23, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 23?$13.75Dec 23, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$1.0KDec 23, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 21?$13.87Dec 22, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$2.0KDec 22, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.0KDec 21, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$2.0KDec 20, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 21?$13.86Dec 20, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$1.0KDec 20, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$2.0KDec 19, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$2.50Dec 19, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 19, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.0KDec 19, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.1KDec 17, 12:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $301.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 14:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 13:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.