Cruel-Harm
0xa7d76be67caf04646a96b815192835f0d15acd0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$54.10
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- NO
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
2031 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.94
- NO
Will the DHS shutdown last 5 days or more?
1750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1316 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will National Citizen Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?
1091 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1049 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 9-15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19?$205.30Mar 18, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18?$208.56Mar 18, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18?$197.91Mar 18, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18?$200.00Mar 18, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19?$183.49Mar 18, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18?$220.68Mar 18, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19?$170.24Mar 18, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$20.00Mar 18, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18?$200.00Mar 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18?$294.78Mar 18, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18?$30.00Mar 18, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$20.00Mar 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18?$50.00Mar 17, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$8.00Mar 17, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18?$230.00Mar 17, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18?$121.70Mar 17, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$0.01Mar 17, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$5.00Mar 17, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$14.46Mar 17, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$10.00Mar 17, 23:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $80.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 11:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.