Frightened-Breath
0xa7dac33d716722b3f59fde64a9d4110acd685b7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-534.97
Realised
$-38.25
Win rate
0%
55 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on July 27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 4?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C or below on July 21?
375 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C or higher on July 3?
215 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C or higher on July 9?
177 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
118 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-40.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 26?
102 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 21?
69 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 2?$7.25Aug 2, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 2?$5.32Aug 2, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 2?$5.08Aug 2, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 2?$5.01Aug 2, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29?$6.76Jul 29, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 29?$6.76Jul 29, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 29?$5.56Jul 29, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 29?$5.15Jul 29, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?$5.75Jul 29, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29?$5.06Jul 29, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 29?$5.06Jul 29, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29?$26.88Jul 29, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29?$22.57Jul 29, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 29?$1.00Jul 29, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 29?$5.07Jul 29, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 29?$5.01Jul 29, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 29?$5.02Jul 29, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?$5.03Jul 29, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 28?$6.38Jul 28, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 28?$5.62Jul 28, 18:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 55 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
55 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $7.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 16:27 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 16:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 55 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.