Hard-To-Find-Dependent
0xa7e98ffcf9b7912f4b91998979c76046f150d5ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$8.56
Total PnL
$-4.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on April 6?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump's remarks not air?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 6?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on March 23?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 40+ seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- AFGHANISTAN
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 54.8¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.71
$-0.59
- NO
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-03-21?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 21?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 6?$1.35Apr 11, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 6?$1.30Apr 6, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on April 6?$1.30Apr 6, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 6?$1.30Apr 6, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's remarks not air?$1.30Apr 6, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on March 23?$1.32Mar 30, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.32Mar 30, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 3m and 3.5m?$2.01Mar 28, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka$1.30Mar 25, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$1.37Mar 25, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on March 23?$1.30Mar 23, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on March 23?$1.30Mar 23, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 21 be between 2,800,000 and 3,000,000?$2.00Mar 23, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win 40+ seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$1.30Mar 22, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMVCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$1.46Mar 22, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$1.30Mar 22, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.30Mar 22, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMHigh Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks$2.32Mar 22, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?$1.30Mar 22, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMTCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils$2.29Mar 22, 03:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $93.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 10:57 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".