Rapid-Spyglass
0xa7eb4fb54e1384977297249e65a1f7aacd10dbec
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$8.23
Total PnL
$-50.88
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.5¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.17
$0.14
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?
125 shares @ 0.3¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.94
$1.56
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.11
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 8?
4200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 18?
1120 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.72
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 16?
1110 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.66
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 March 9-15?
1079 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on March 24?
1073 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 2?
1070 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.21
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on April 25?
1069 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.02Jul 23, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.03Jul 23, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.02Jul 23, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.03Jul 23, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.03Jul 23, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.03Jul 23, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.02Jul 23, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.02Jul 23, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.02Jul 23, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.03Jul 23, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.03Jul 23, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.03Jul 23, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.03Jul 23, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?$0.03Jul 23, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?$8.53Jul 10, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?$8.51Jul 9, 06:14 UTC
- REWARD$0.19Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.50Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 2?$3.21Jun 2, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 23?$1.1KMay 23, 18:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $291.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 05:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 02:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.