Lost-Thirst
0xa7ec92a3fe62a8da04d94c9602e5ea2e429c3c12
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-52.76
Realised
$10.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
294 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
75 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
54 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
53 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.84
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
53 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?
17 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
16 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.30
- YES
Will Trump say "Crime" or "Stabbed in the ass" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$0.00Dec 4, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$31.96Dec 3, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-03?$10.11Dec 3, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?$21.85Dec 3, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?$3.22Dec 3, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolves vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?$10.00Dec 3, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-03?$8.00Dec 3, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?$7.00Dec 3, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$60.00Dec 3, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$7.09Dec 1, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$7.08Dec 1, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$7.17Dec 1, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$6.58Dec 1, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$1.00Nov 21, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Airbnb reach $128 in November?$1.59Nov 21, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$16.45Nov 21, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$9.30Nov 21, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb reach $128 in November?$5.00Nov 21, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$1.00Nov 21, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$31.75Nov 21, 14:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $9.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 15:49 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 4, 14:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".