Affectionate-Senator
0xa7f07c0b02c155db475240738a6aa4581b3aa8bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-548.79
Realised
$-212.81
Win rate
0%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 11?
277 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?
276 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 10?
275 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.22
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 8?
271 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 14?
271 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 14?
271 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.71
- YES
Will Solana reach $150 January 5-11?
271 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 7?
270 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
266 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.73
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on January 2?
265 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 10?$2.51Aug 9, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 4?$79.99Jul 4, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 4?$78.23Jul 3, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 1?$2.71Jul 1, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4?$1.27Jun 3, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 31?$90.79Jun 1, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 31?$0.12May 30, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 31?$87.95May 30, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24?$73.00May 24, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24?$70.81May 24, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 20?$3.77May 19, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 11?$79.60May 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 11?$0.19May 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 11?$78.06May 10, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 10?$2.69May 9, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 8?$3.34May 7, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 14?$100.73Apr 30, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 20?$2.81Apr 20, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 11?$0.00Apr 20, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 14?$96.60Apr 14, 08:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $28.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 13:04 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 21:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.