Polished-Runaway
0xa7f1b3e0c642796a309ecb7bb8d71f56a69ec062
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
163
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-243.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 163- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 11?
57 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$57.00
$26.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 11?
46 shares @ 66.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$45.92
$15.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on May 11?
37 shares @ 82.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$36.72
$6.36
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 11?
36 shares @ 58.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$35.62
$14.93
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 11?
31 shares @ 89.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$31.07
$3.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 12?
32 shares @ 64.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$28.03
$7.53
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12?
32 shares @ 63.5¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$26.90
$6.56
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 12?
34 shares @ 60.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$26.77
$6.31
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 11?
27 shares @ 74.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$26.68
$6.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 12?
25 shares @ 80.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$24.67
$4.81
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$6.853h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 12?$10.304h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 13?$4.264h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 13?$0.974h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 12?$0.314h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 12?$7.954h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 12?$9.366h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 12?$1.946h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 12?$4.207h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 12?$5.407h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C or higher on May 12?$2.757h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C or higher on May 12?$3.528h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C or higher on May 12?$3.328h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 13?$3.608h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 12?$3.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 13?$6.468h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 13?$2.998h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 13?$7.229h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or higher on May 13?$9.929h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 13?$3.7210h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 15h ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
