Practical-Lamb
0xa7fa144dbc59c7171a9aced9a779e1f26cda16cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$400.00
Total PnL
$-61.3K
Realised
$-24.8K
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
300 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$300.00
$36.00
- NO
Lee Jun-seok in jail in 2025?
100 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$100.00
$21.00
- YES
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?
39926 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.4K
- YES
Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?
18482 shares @ 88.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-16.4K
- YES
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
15774 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?
6333 shares @ 90.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.7K
- YES
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
3118 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
3000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Lee Jun-seok in jail in 2025?
2914 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-662.85
- YES
Will South Korea move its capital to Sejong in 2025?
2771 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-168.87
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.91Nov 14, 00:03 UTC
- MERGEWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$200.0KNov 13, 00:46 UTC
- YIELD$21.92Nov 13, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$21.92Nov 12, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$21.92Nov 11, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$21.92Nov 10, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$21.92Nov 9, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$10.05Nov 8, 00:04 UTC
- SPLITWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$200.0KNov 7, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLChoo Kyung-ho in jail by November 30?$30.00Nov 6, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$203.2KNov 5, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$123.79Nov 4, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.7KNov 4, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$813.64Nov 4, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?$757.50Nov 4, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMJames Comey arrested by October 31?$1.0KNov 4, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLHan Duck-soo in jail by December 31?$138.00Nov 3, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLHan Duck-soo in jail by December 31?$129.95Nov 3, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLHan Duck-soo in jail by December 31?$5.05Nov 3, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYPark Sung-jae in jail by November 30?$300.00Nov 3, 08:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 12:04 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 00:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.