Rusty-Damage
0xa7fb6c4300913b308fcd014609a3e740f334182c
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-756.72
Realised
$-15.51
Win rate
0%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 1?
287 shares @ 63.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-181.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 2?
174 shares @ 75.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-131.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 28?
108 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-37.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 30?
103 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-46.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 3?
103 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-50.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 30?
102 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-51.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?
96 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 29?
72 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 25?
59 shares @ 60.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-35.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 3?
57 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on July 25?$0.00Jul 26, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on July 25?$43.41Jul 25, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 25?$36.52Jul 25, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 25?$36.57Jul 25, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 25?$33.18Jul 25, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 18?$0.65Jul 18, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 18?$56.50Jul 18, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 18?$56.06Jul 18, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 18?$50.28Jul 18, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 16?$3.00Jul 17, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 16?$2.60Jul 16, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on July 16?$2.59Jul 16, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on July 16?$60.29Jul 16, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?$60.29Jul 16, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?$17.53Jul 16, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?$16.74Jul 16, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?$16.84Jul 16, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 16?$51.09Jul 16, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 16?$47.06Jul 16, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 16?$47.04Jul 16, 09:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 35 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
35 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $26.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 04:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 11:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.