0xa804f8fcff8a7448ecf678b88172d9bde72dbb75
0xa804f8fcff8a7448ecf678b88172d9bde72dbb75
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$13.82
Total PnL
$-2.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- BINANCE COIN
Will the price of $BCH (Bitcoin Cash) or $BNB (Binance Coin) be higher on November 25th?
2 shares @ 44.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2021$2.24
$1.24
- NO
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $63,000 at noon on November 22, 2021?
1 shares @ 87.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2021$1.37
$0.17
- NO
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,500 on November 24th, 12pm ET?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2021$1.32
$0.32
- NO
Will OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021?
1 shares @ 76.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2021$1.31
$0.31
- NO
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in conterminous U.S. by November 29th?
1 shares @ 76.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2021$1.31
$0.31
- LONG
What will the fully diluted market cap of Foundation’s token be 1 week after it starts trading?
2 shares @ 50.9¢·now 50.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2021$1.20
$-0.00
- NO
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022?
1 shares @ 92.6¢·now 95.6¢·exp Feb 22, 2022$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will $GM be above $.000216 on November 19, 2021 (11:30 PM ET)?
1 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2021$1.02
$0.02
- SOLANA
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 18th: Cardano ($ADA) or Solana ($SOL)?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2021$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2021$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.