Deficient-Instruction
0xa80512a49ba797e60b34922f7f232546dd7b8622
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-623.79
Realised
$8.84
Win rate
47%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
379 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-12.13
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
299 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
159 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
158 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
137 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.68
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.12Jan 30, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$2.00Jan 30, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$4.00Jan 30, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$0.00Jan 30, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.00Jan 30, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$3.52Jan 30, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$7.88Jan 30, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$2.00Jan 30, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$8.04Jan 30, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$8.00Jan 30, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$4.00Jan 30, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$2.00Jan 30, 19:16 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$10.94Jan 23, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$5.00Jan 23, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$5.00Jan 23, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$15.20Jan 23, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$2.00Jan 23, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$2.00Jan 23, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.50Jan 23, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.50Jan 23, 11:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 23:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 23:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.