Secondary-Knock
0xa80dc7c08c187c2aece069a45dbec64bf98f035e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-376.44
Win rate
0%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
532 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
410 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-118.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with South Korean president on August 25?
250 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
204 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-42.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
198 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
185 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
147 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-49.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$26.06May 11, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$20.94May 11, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$10.59May 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$5.34May 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$62.91May 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$26.36May 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$10.62May 11, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$51.78May 11, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$21.30May 11, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$83.30May 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$21.06May 10, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$10.59May 10, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$10.52May 10, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$40.93May 10, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$21.05May 10, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$5.35May 10, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$10.48May 10, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$10.42May 10, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$18.00May 10, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$5.26May 10, 23:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $16.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 23:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 00:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.