Slippery-Incident
0xa8154b1b093950202bac26899c88c37ea8e9a3c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
112
Open notional
$1.79
Total PnL
$-302.3K
Realised
$-51.1K
Win rate
11%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
2 shares @ 87.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.79
$0.22
- YES
Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?
31925 shares @ 89.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-28.5K
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 September 29-October 5?
30182 shares @ 66.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?
16434 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-6.9K
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
14447 shares @ 65.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-9.5K
- YES
Bitcoin above $113.5K on August 24 at 4PM ET?
12028 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-11.5K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on September 26?
12000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-835.18
- NO
Will another person win the Bolivian election?
9537 shares @ 97.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-9.3K
- NO
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?
8500 shares @ 95.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-8.2K
- YES
Bitcoin above $114K on August 24 at 4PM ET?
8307 shares @ 90.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-7.5K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$73.76Nov 10, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$771.86Nov 10, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.7KNov 10, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz$2.0KNov 10, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$2.8KNov 10, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$2.9KNov 10, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by November 30?$2.9KNov 10, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$3.2KNov 10, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Lions make the playoffs?$1.6KNov 10, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?$3.6KNov 10, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kansas City Chiefs make the playoffs?$2.5KNov 10, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran before 2026?$4.1KNov 10, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$4.0KNov 10, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Rams make the playoffs?$824.65Nov 10, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by November 30?$6.0KNov 10, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$9.2KNov 10, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$9.5KNov 10, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz$84.36Nov 10, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz$78.92Nov 10, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz$17.00Nov 10, 11:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 01:34 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 10, 12:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".