Beautiful-Atmosphere
0xa8171c1b8acf891e18a83f6f8f1fdb7bd7ec95d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-44.88
Win rate
29%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 16?
218 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-44.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 29?
204 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-37.33
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
200 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on January 16?
197 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-44.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on February 20?
194 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-24.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 14?
168 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-22.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on May 25?
164 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-17.56
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on February 17?
142 shares @ 76.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-109.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
142 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-83.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 1?
140 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-17.05
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$2.08Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on June 29?$1.51Jun 29, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 26?$1.45Jun 27, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on June 27?$2.22Jun 26, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 26?$2.25Jun 26, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 26?$4.04Jun 26, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 26?$1.02Jun 26, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 26?$1.02Jun 26, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 26?$5.07Jun 26, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 26?$1.05Jun 26, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 26?$1.02Jun 26, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 26?$12.92Jun 26, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 26?$2.01Jun 26, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 26?$1.01Jun 26, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 26?$3.34Jun 26, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 26?$2.02Jun 26, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 26?$1.03Jun 26, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 26?$5.04Jun 26, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 26?$2.06Jun 26, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 26?$5.68Jun 26, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 17:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.