Arid-Spectacle
0xa817d154e7c4a55774be9b5e67952411e899766f
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in November 2025?
1300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
295 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?$3.02Jun 1, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $400 in May?$2.00Jun 1, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?$3.02Jun 1, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$16.23Jun 1, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$29.18May 31, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.00May 31, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$16.20May 30, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$7.02May 30, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$3.01May 30, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.00May 30, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?$1.00May 30, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?$3.02May 30, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$29.01May 29, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMSolstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$28.99May 26, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$28.91May 26, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$28.94May 17, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$28.81May 13, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?$3.00May 11, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$4.00May 10, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?$1.00May 8, 20:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $7.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 19:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 11:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".