Wallet digest

active

Activity score

58/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$5.05

Total PnL

$-17.6K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 43

NO
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970
$1.01
$0.01
NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$1.01
$0.01
NO
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$1.01
$0.01
NO
Will Tom Zhu be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$1.01
$0.01
NO
Rainbow FDV above $3B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026
$1.00
$0.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025
$0.00
$-1.0K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025
$0.00
$-1.0K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
1995 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025
$0.00
$-997.50
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
1600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025
$0.00
$-800.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$255.00Dec 11, 01:51 UTC
REDEEMWill Galatasaray finish first in UCL league phase?$1.00Dec 11, 01:44 UTC
REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 11, 01:44 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$500.00Dec 11, 01:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 09:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 09:54 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$500.00Dec 10, 09:34 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$500.00Dec 10, 09:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$13.50Dec 10, 09:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$236.50Dec 10, 08:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 08:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 08:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 08:38 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$500.00Dec 10, 08:16 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$500.00Dec 10, 08:09 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$500.00Dec 10, 07:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 07:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 07:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 06:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 06:33 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity37 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry88 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk64 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 30
Avg trade size: $208.53
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 1, 05:49 UTC
Last active: Dec 11, 01:51 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 19:16:25 UTC·src:Polymarket Data