Aged-Barbecue
0xa8339bf6faa9dc9f4ff4c64cf47f2ceeff29a119
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$3.07
Total PnL
$-31.7K
Realised
$-2.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?
1 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 25?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2398 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
2052 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
2002 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Keith Lehr win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 26, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?$1.00Dec 26, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 10?$1.00Dec 26, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 11?$1.01Dec 26, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chris Moneymaker win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.02Dec 26, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$1.11Dec 26, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 25?$1.00Dec 26, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?$1.00Dec 15, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$1.00Dec 11, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 11?$1.00Dec 10, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 9?$1.00Dec 10, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 4?$1.00Dec 10, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 2?$1.00Dec 10, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,400 December 1-7?$1.00Dec 10, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 7?$1.00Dec 10, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?$1.01Dec 10, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 25?$1.01Dec 10, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.02Dec 10, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?$1.05Dec 10, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.08Dec 10, 06:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 02:54 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 26, 04:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".