Fancy-Philanthropy
0xa8363c2668c4684d484108e713833f912845a03e
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$17.28
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$11.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS
Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$10.87
$0.87
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
5 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 90.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
39827 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.2K
- YES
Trump out as President in 2025?
6305 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.99
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out in 2025?
3589 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-9.85
- NO
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
2825 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-110.00
- NO
Will no listed leader be out in 2025?
729 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?
224 shares @ 53.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-120.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
199 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-39.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$75.09Feb 24, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$20.00Feb 24, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$20.00Feb 24, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$0.00Feb 24, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$0.00Feb 24, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$2.00Feb 24, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$19.69Feb 24, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$5.00Feb 24, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$2.00Feb 24, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.00Feb 24, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.00Feb 24, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$10.00Feb 24, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.00Feb 24, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.00Feb 24, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$1.00Feb 24, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$5.00Feb 24, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.00Feb 24, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$20.00Feb 24, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Grizzlies$10.00Feb 24, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$5.00Feb 24, 01:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $39.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 13, 23:13 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 02:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".