Poised-Decoder
0xa83beb584d29f45215912d0ce19088f80b086896
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$91.09
Total PnL
$-15.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?
91 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$91.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 30?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 8?
950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?
820 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on November 6?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- SOUTH ALABAMA
Arkansas State vs. South Alabama
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?$91.01Jun 1, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?$90.09Jun 1, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?$90.01May 28, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 17?$90.09May 23, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 17?$90.00May 17, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?$90.18May 17, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?$90.01May 12, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?$90.09May 12, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?$90.01May 7, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on May 8?$2.14May 7, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$92.09May 7, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$92.00May 4, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26?$92.09May 4, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26?$92.00Apr 26, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 23?$92.09Apr 26, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 23?$92.00Apr 23, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?$92.09Apr 23, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?$92.00Apr 18, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14?$92.09Apr 18, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14?$92.00Apr 14, 12:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $75.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 09:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 08:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".