Elegant-Cottage
0xa83e44bf188f0daf4b68b2c7c4e8c13f77cfa920
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$138.05
Total PnL
$-77.72
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?
25 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$24.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?
24 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$23.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Solana dip to $10 in May?
24 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$23.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?
22 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$21.87
$-0.13
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?
21 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$20.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?
20 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$20.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.11
$0.00
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.11
$0.00
- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
464 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-63.30
- YES
Will Trump sign any Executive Order week of October 24?
11 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-7.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $10 in May?$24.00May 13, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?$25.00May 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?$24.00May 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16?$22.00May 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?$21.00May 13, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?$20.00May 13, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?$11.03May 13, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$12.02May 13, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?$12.03May 13, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $10 in April?$12.98May 13, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$16.02May 13, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$18.04May 13, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$54.33May 13, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$54.02Apr 30, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.82Apr 30, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$12.01Apr 30, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?$12.35Apr 30, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$13.01Apr 30, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$15.01Apr 30, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $10 in April?$12.94Apr 9, 03:14 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $16.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 02:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 08:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".