Tasty-Life
0xa8414355f40b1f38fb1744cd4ec6470eb201455d
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-171.77
Realised
$-16.97
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 23?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
725 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?
435 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
359 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike another country first?
308 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-7.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 50°F or higher on January 23?
194 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$9.97Mar 16, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$10.00Mar 16, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$19.97Mar 15, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$17.13Mar 13, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$3.97Mar 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$10.00Mar 13, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$2.49Mar 13, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$5.00Mar 13, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$25.69Mar 13, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$9.47Mar 13, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$0.36Mar 13, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$5.00Mar 13, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$1.01Mar 13, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$3.00Mar 13, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$2.37Mar 10, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$5.00Mar 10, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$11.13Mar 10, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$5.00Mar 10, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$3.00Mar 10, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$0.81Mar 10, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 11:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 09:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.