Ill-Fated-Thigh
0xa8448cce6eea1ee0dd1682438ee8eebe402d4a7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$67.72
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-28.59
Win rate
44%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: November
16 shares @ 77.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$16.00
$3.66
- YES
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$4.80
- YES
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.25
$5.25
- NO
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.00
$3.00
- YES
Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$2.65
- NO
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
5 shares @ 36.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$3.17
- NO
Will Trump say "Mustache" in November?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$5.00
$1.10
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
4 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$4.41
$1.41
- YES
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
2 shares @ 44.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$2.24
$1.24
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.24
$-2.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$52.15Nov 26, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$4.10Nov 26, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$2.93Nov 26, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.25Nov 26, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.05Nov 26, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.80Nov 26, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Nov 26, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Nov 26, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$5.00Nov 26, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$15.47Nov 26, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$4.53Nov 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$2.50Nov 26, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$5.00Nov 26, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$26.75Nov 26, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$7.87Nov 26, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$19.82Nov 26, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$5.40Nov 26, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$40.00Nov 26, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$47.59Nov 26, 14:11 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$47.59Nov 26, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $11.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 26, 12:36 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 26, 14:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".