Cumbersome-Blow
0xa8458be19b06e73f532b01bf4f1d7753db312307
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$9.4K
Total PnL
$-670.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
6352 shares @ 16.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$6.4K
$5.3K
- YES
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
1515 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$1.5K
$515.15
- YES
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
485 shares @ 65.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$484.87
$168.87
- YES
Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?
351 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2025$350.88
$150.88
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?
226 shares @ 42.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$225.89
$128.89
- YES
Will Barcelona win La Liga?
161 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$161.29
$61.29
- YES
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?
87 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$87.34
$18.34
- NO
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration?
78 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$78.41
$9.41
- YES
Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
30 shares @ 70.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$29.75
$8.74
- NO
Will Matt Gaetz be a member of the Trump administration?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$25.00
$5.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.16Jan 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$4.6KJan 22, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$68.35Jan 22, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$1.48Jan 22, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$13.63Jan 22, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$7.57Jan 22, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$5.45Jan 22, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$1.58Jan 22, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$34.45Jan 22, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$5.24Jan 22, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$5.36Jan 22, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$5.32Jan 22, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$0.92Jan 22, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$13.78Jan 22, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$34.65Jan 22, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$35.70Jan 22, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$5.27Jan 22, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$5.27Jan 22, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$1.05Jan 22, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$1.79Jan 22, 01:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $175.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 18:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".