Dependent-Dusk
0xa8484ea3032b818999a659d3b8637bbd3a63ebb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-61.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 11?
288 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.22
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 1?
281 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 12?
281 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.87
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 1?
278 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.36
- YES
Will BNB dip to $800 in December?
277 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.22
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 12?
277 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.37
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 7?
275 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 14?
273 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on January 15?
263 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 15?
263 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.89
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 10?$141.33Jul 10, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 10?$0.33Jul 9, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 10?$139.59Jul 9, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 1?$1.78Jul 1, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 4?$135.45Jun 4, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 4?$133.96Jun 3, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $90 May 25-31?$1.41May 31, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 25?$115.50May 25, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 25?$113.19May 25, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 May 18-24?$2.42May 24, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$2.57May 21, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 15?$142.42May 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 15?$140.85May 15, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 28?$20.94May 7, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 20?$136.00May 1, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 28?$19.18Apr 27, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 20?$134.64Apr 19, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 13?$2.20Apr 12, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 31?$123.99Apr 10, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 31?$7.66Mar 31, 05:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $33.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 06:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 16:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.