Watchful-Guestbook
0xa84ba0684da7e94a304edb752aebab1708bed04d
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$4.54
Total PnL
$-11.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$1.89
$0.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$1.62
$0.65
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
188 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
101 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
46 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
8 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 26, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$1.00Apr 26, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$1.00Apr 26, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$1.00Apr 26, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$4.00Apr 25, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$2.00Apr 25, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.00Apr 25, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.00Apr 25, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$3.00Apr 25, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.00Apr 25, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$1.00Apr 25, 01:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 01:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 08:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".