Flustered-Necktie
0xa84be561d38122895bc4cd1413c3a207e23fe9c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$8.45
Total PnL
$0.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "Maybe Happy Ending" win the Tony for Best Musical 2025?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?
1 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
1 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Ye banned on X before July?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
MicroStrategy purchases >14000 BTC May 27-June 2?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2025$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Maybe Happy Ending" win the Tony for Best Musical 2025?$1.00Jun 2, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYYe banned on X before July?$1.00Jun 2, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$1.00Jun 2, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50?$1.00Jun 2, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June? $1.00Jun 2, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'How to Train Your Dragon' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.00Jun 2, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return in 2025?$1.00Jun 2, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMXRP all time high in May?$1.00Jun 2, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMXRP above $2.70 on May 30?$1.00Jun 2, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $125k in May?$1.00Jun 2, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3500 in May?$1.00Jun 2, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan and Jake Paul fight before June?$1.00Jun 2, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $210 in May?$1.00Jun 2, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $113,000 on May 30?$1.01Jun 2, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP above $2.70 on May 30?$1.00May 29, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $113,000 on May 30?$1.00May 29, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan and Jake Paul fight before June?$1.00May 29, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy purchases >14000 BTC May 27-June 2?$1.00May 29, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP all time high in May?$1.00May 29, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $210 in May?$1.00May 29, 22:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $5.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 11:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 23:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".