Loathsome-Samovar
0xa85289ff06f005d229ebfde338ac68b09c17ad59
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$19.74
Total PnL
$-340.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
10 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.00
$3.40
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
10 shares @ 59.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.74
$3.85
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1449 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Abdi Nageeye win the 2025 Men's New York City Marathon?
650 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-143.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
300 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Will Alexander Mutiso win the 2025 Men's New York City Marathon?
150 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-28.50
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
100 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.80
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
50 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-13.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
10 shares @ 53.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.26
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Mar 3, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$5.34Mar 3, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$6.60Mar 2, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.90Mar 2, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$206.41Mar 2, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$70.67Mar 2, 07:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 2, 01:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 1, 01:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 28, 01:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 27, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 26, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 25, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 24, 00:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 23, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 22, 00:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 21, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 20, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 19, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 18, 00:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 17, 00:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $22.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 00:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 00:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".