Concerned-Discrepancy
0xa858f39b61b2436b8ea25c521d3c189eb95b3bbf
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-275.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Collin Murray-Boyles win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
401 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-77.80
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
310 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will James Harden lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
175 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
66 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
59 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.26
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
50 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$22.26Jan 14, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Collin Murray-Boyles win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$5.00Oct 28, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$25.00Oct 28, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Harden lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?$20.00Oct 27, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?$5.00Oct 26, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$25.00Oct 26, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Pistons$5.00Oct 26, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Wizards$5.00Oct 26, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Warriors (-1.5)$10.20Oct 25, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Grizzlies$46.51Oct 25, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$25.00Oct 24, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?$10.00Oct 24, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-4.5)$10.00Oct 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Warriors (-1.5)$5.00Oct 24, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Grizzlies$20.00Oct 24, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$89.11Mar 21, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$27.23Mar 18, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?$20.00Mar 18, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$50.00Mar 18, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMKings vs. Warriors$0.00Mar 18, 19:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $20.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 15:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 02:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.