Jumpy-Hypothesis
0xa85a970a4e32194a06cb84563cf26fda204134e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$36.74
Total PnL
$0.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Maduro out in 2025?
13 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.50
$0.50
- NO
Will Linda McMahon be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
12 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
12 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$12.07
$0.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMRockets vs. Lakers$0.00Dec 26, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$12.00Dec 26, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Lakers$2.4KDec 26, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Lakers$1.4KDec 25, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Linda McMahon be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$12.00Dec 25, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?$5.03Dec 25, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?$5.00Nov 22, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$12.00Nov 22, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?$1.92Nov 22, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump acquire Greenland before July?$3.37Nov 22, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits?$3.44Nov 22, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dozen eggs be between $4.75-5.00 in May?$4.16Nov 22, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$4.96Nov 22, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs be between $4.75-5.00 in May?$4.10Jun 9, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$4.80Jun 9, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 80–94 times May 30–June 6?$13.05Jun 9, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 80–94 times May 30–June 6?$13.00May 31, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$2.04May 31, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xi Jinping talk to Trump before May?$3.40May 31, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump remove tariff on China before May?$4.61May 31, 07:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $63.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 12, 02:11 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 26, 06:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".