Agonizing-Encouragement
0xa862c4acc6ede574fe56f725f811e462049d46e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-317.97
Realised
$-6.53
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will GPT-5 be released on August 11?
1106 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 390–404 times August 1–August 8?
548 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on August 6?
344 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 285–299 times August 1–August 8?
322 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-9.21
- YES
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?
276 shares @ 65.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-180.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3600 on August 6?
264 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 270–284 times August 1–August 8?
224 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 300–314 times August 1–August 8?
160 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?
77 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-19.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?$9.00Aug 8, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 390–404 times August 1–August 8?$10.00Aug 8, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 390–404 times August 1–August 8?$8.00Aug 8, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 390–404 times August 1–August 8?$5.00Aug 8, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 360–374 times August 1–August 8?$12.05Aug 8, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?$10.00Aug 8, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?$5.00Aug 8, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?$34.59Aug 8, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?$36.00Aug 8, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 405–419 times August 1–August 8?$1.01Aug 8, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5 be released on August 7?$4.26Aug 7, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5 be released on August 7?$0.03Aug 7, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released on August 7?$2.00Aug 7, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released on August 7?$1.00Aug 7, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released on August 7?$1.00Aug 7, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 420–434 times August 1–August 8?$1.00Aug 7, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 390–404 times August 1–August 8?$5.00Aug 7, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 405–419 times August 1–August 8?$5.00Aug 7, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 330–344 times August 1–August 8?$1.49Aug 7, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?$10.47Aug 7, 19:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 15:23 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 12:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".