Vague-Earring
0xa86413345e4fd7cb136115aa1bf549a3223be234
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$13.60
Total PnL
$-10.62
Realised
$-0.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.26
$2.26
- NO
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?
4 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.90
$0.90
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.29
$0.64
- NO
Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.08
- NO
US bank failure by January 31?
4 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLZama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$21.62Jan 18, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?$97.40Jan 18, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?$76.70Jan 17, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner$77.23Jan 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner$5.14Jan 17, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$5.14Jan 17, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner$5.22Jan 17, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.23Jan 17, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner$62.48Jan 17, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner$37.40Jan 17, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner$64.60Jan 17, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrove FDV above $40M one day after launch?$2.00Jan 17, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrove FDV above $20M one day after launch?$3.00Jan 17, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $800M one day after launch?$3.00Jan 17, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYZama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$20.00Jan 17, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?$3.53Jan 17, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix dip to $70 in December?$5.00Jan 17, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill MOUZ win the HLTV Team of the Year award?$5.01Jan 17, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Green Bay Packers be the Top Defense/Special Teams of the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?$5.01Jan 17, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?$5.13Jan 17, 11:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $38.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 20:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 17:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.