Worse-Miniskirt
0xa8648dd00467ebe589d2a27f8721f5366c7f8610
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
EDL declared terrorist org in August?
2 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- NO
Fact Check: Was it a rogue actor?
1 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Venezuela intervention by August 31?
1 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.20
- NO
Will Belichick not be head coach in the 2024-25 NFL season?
1 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will France recognize Palestine before September?
1 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- NO
Will Trump and Harris debate before election?
1 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? $0.06Aug 13, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLVP debate before election?$0.06Aug 13, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLSomeone else next Prime Minister of France?$0.06Aug 13, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLLucie Castets appointed as French PM by August 31?$0.01Aug 13, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$0.09Aug 13, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5 announced in Q3 2024?$0.09Aug 13, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLFact Check: Was there an order to hold fire?$0.10Aug 13, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China unban Bitcoin in 2024?$0.10Aug 13, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala say "Weirdo" in August?$0.03Aug 13, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala say "Venn diagram" in August?$0.10Aug 13, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris say "Context" in August?$0.00Aug 13, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan in 2024?$0.10Aug 13, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBiden resigns from presidency by August 31?$0.10Aug 13, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLJD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?$0.11Aug 13, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RFK Jr. place second in any state?$0.11Aug 13, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLHouse control after 2024 election?$0.11Aug 13, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump wins every swing state?$0.10Aug 13, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala campaign accepts crypto donations before September?$0.11Aug 13, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.11Aug 13, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS inflation >0.1% from June to July 2024?$0.12Aug 13, 23:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $0.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 01:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 23:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.