Wordy-Nightlight
0xa86889156b8ecfd161aa88c396c2fe1bce198341
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$2.41
Total PnL
$-88.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?
71 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.82
$0.46
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
65 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.20
$-0.13
- YES
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?
67 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.03
$-0.10
- YES
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?
64 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.03
$-0.10
- YES
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?
62 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.03
$-0.09
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 54% and 56%?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by between 3% and 6%?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Feb 26, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$1.25Feb 26, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ja Morant lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.17Feb 26, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.00Feb 26, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$2.25Feb 26, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLRojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?$2.71Feb 26, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rory Hoskins be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?$1.92Feb 26, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dominic Solanke be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$2.13Feb 26, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$4.91Feb 26, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$6.68Feb 24, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.00Feb 23, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?$2.00Feb 23, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$2.00Feb 22, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.00Feb 22, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$1.00Feb 22, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?$1.00Feb 22, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$2.00Feb 21, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?$2.00Feb 21, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?$2.00Feb 21, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?$2.00Feb 21, 07:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 17:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 10:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.